Aave | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥55.

Breakout Best Fit HOLD fit 58

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $135.6800

Swing HOLD fit 58

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $135.6800

Mean Reversion HOLD fit 57

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $135.6800

Momentum HOLD fit 56

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $135.6800

Trend Following HOLD fit 54

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $135.6800

Position HOLD fit 50

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $142.0000

Scalping HOLD fit 49

SL $104.0500 · TP1 $129.3500

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (62) RSI 56.51 ADX 14.96

1H BUY (60) RSI 50.74 ADX 10.03

4H BUY (56) RSI 56.18 ADX 17.27

1D NEUTRAL (58) RSI 40.23 ADX 33.55

1W NEUTRAL (37) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 33. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (50%)

58/100 raw · NEUTRAL · Trending regime – 1D=50% / 4H=30% / 1H=20%

+29

→ 29

4H Timeframe (30%)

56/100 raw · BULL

+17

→ 46

1H Timeframe (20%)

60/100 raw · BULL

+12

→ 58

Session Filter

Outside peak hours (12–22 UTC). Current: 0:00 UTC

-5

→ 53

Divergence Modifier

1H bear div, 4H bear div

-8

→ 45

Potential Top (Bull)

Overbought + resistance + divergence — avoiding longs

-12

→ 33

Final Score

33

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

8 /1H

8 /4H

15 /1D

11 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

12 /1H

10 /4H

3 /1D

8 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

9 /1H

7 /4H

14 /1D

10 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

20 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (-124% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

+2 Inside / touching Bear FVG ($115.22–$116.76)

— Liquidity cluster above at $121.52 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $110.11 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (-184% of S/R range)

+5 At lower Bollinger Band (oversold zone)

— 2 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $119.63 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $114.54 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 20/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK UP (structure break bullish)

+5 Near resistance (103% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

— Liquidity cluster above at $124.23 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $114.31 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

3 /1H

3 /4H

0 /1D

2 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

8 /1H

8 /4H

6 /1D

7 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$116.7000

Stop Loss

$104.0500

TP 1

$135.6800

TP 2

$148.3300

TP 3

$167.3000

Risk / Reward

2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence

Quality gate: score 33 or confluence 2 below minimum – held to HOLD

Strategy: Swing (best fit for trending regime)

1H: BUY (60/100) | 4H: BUY (56/100) | 1D: NEUTRAL (58/100)

Daily trend strong - aligned with higher timeframe

Momentum confirming on 1H

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

BTC correlation: 78% — high, watch BTC

Volume POC at $113.35

Fib 0.618 at $118.58

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Outside peak session (12–22 UTC) – reduced conviction

Bearish divergence (MACD/Stoch) – potential top forming

Potential top: divergence + overbought/resistance

1H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present

4H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 73% complete

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike) [72% win rate] 49% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top [72% win rate] 12% complete

1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 73% complete

1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 15% complete

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

50.74

ADX

10.03

Trend

SIDEWAYS

Structure

BULLISH

VWAP

$116.3200

MACD Hist

-0.458

Stoch K/D

4.22/23.3

ATR

$2.3500

BB Range

$110.6300 - $121.3200

Support

$117.9000

Resistance

$118.8700

Volume

NORMAL

Rel Volume

0.81x

BTC Corr

78%

Vol POC

$113.3500

Fib 0.618

$118.5757