Cardano | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Mean Reversion Best Fit SELL fit 60

SL $0.2481 · TP1 $0.2429

Breakout SELL fit 57

SL $0.2481 · TP1 $0.2429

Swing SELL fit 55

SL $0.2503 · TP1 $0.2395

Position HOLD fit 50

SL $0.2691 · TP1 $0.1998

Momentum HOLD fit 42

SL $0.2691 · TP1 $0.2114

Scalping HOLD fit 41

SL $0.2691 · TP1 $0.2229

Trend Following HOLD fit 37

SL $0.2691 · TP1 $0.2114

Timeframe Analysis

15m SELL (50) RSI 48.65 ADX 19.89

1H SELL (57) RSI 48.98 ADX 16.78

4H SELL (56) RSI 44.89 ADX 15.97

1D SELL (54) RSI 47.12 ADX 14.05

1W NEUTRAL (44) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 53. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)

54/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%

+16

→ 16

4H Timeframe (38%)

56/100 raw · BEAR

+21

→ 37

1H Timeframe (32%)

57/100 raw · BEAR

+18

→ 55

Divergence Modifier

4H bull div

-2

→ 53

BTC Correlation

Corr 0.79 with BTC but signal opposes BTC (BULL)

-6

→ 47

TF Consensus

Strong alignment: 100% direction agreement, scores within 5 pts

+6

→ 53

Final Score

53

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

5 /1H

11 /4H

11 /1D

10 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

10 /1H

7 /4H

3 /1D

6 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

6 /1H

7 /4H

11 /1D

8 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

19 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK DOWN (structure break bearish)

+2 Mid-range (44% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

+3 Near Bear Order Block ($0.25, dist 0.47%)

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.25 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.24 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BEARISH (Lower Highs / Lower Lows)

+2 Mid-range (64% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

— 2 order block(s) detected — price not within 0.8% of any

— 2 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.25 — not in range

+1 Near liquidity cluster below ($0.25) — support/bounce zone

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 19/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK UP (structure break bullish)

+3 Close to support (33% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

— 2 order block(s) detected — price not within 0.8% of any

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.25 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.24 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

8 /1H

3 /4H

6 /1D

5 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

8 /1H

8 /4H

4 /1D

6 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$0.2460

Stop Loss

$0.2503

TP 1

$0.2395

TP 2

$0.2352

TP 3

$0.2288

Risk / Reward

2.51x

Why Take This Trade

All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence

Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)

1H: SELL (57/100) | 4H: SELL (56/100) | 1D: SELL (54/100)

Market structure favorable

1H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope

4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope

1D: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend) [83% win rate] 65% complete

1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend) [72% win rate] 53% complete

BTC correlation: 79% — high, watch BTC

Volume POC at $0.25

Fib 0.618 at $0.25

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present

4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope

1D: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 36% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 10% complete

1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom [72% win rate] 30% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)

NEUTRAL

Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%

RSI (14)

48.98

ADX

16.78

Trend

SIDEWAYS

Structure

BREAK_DOWN

VWAP

$0.2446

MACD Hist

0.00037495

Stoch K/D

61.45/65.97

ATR

$0.00217078

BB Range

$0.2425 - $0.2476

Support

$0.2441

Resistance

$0.2484

Volume

DECLINING

Rel Volume

0.53x

BTC Corr

79%

Vol POC

$0.2474

Fib 0.618

$0.2477

Order Flow NEUTRAL FLOW

Live order book depth from Bitget. Flow score ranges from -10 (strong sell pressure) to +10 (strong buy pressure). Updates every ~45 seconds.

Flow Score

0

Spread

0.041% (tight)

Depth Imbalance

0.93x ask heavy

Depth (1%)

$3533k

Bid Wall

2x avg

Ask Wall

2.3x avg

Bids: $1698k total $0.2457 Asks: $1834k total