Cenovus Energy
STOCK
CVE · US Equity
SELL
Caution
3/3 TF
2.51x R:R
Position
ranging
Score: 45/100
Strategy: Position
Strategy Fit Scores
Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.
Position
Best Fit
SELL
fit 64
SL $40.2100 · TP1 $38.4400
Swing
SELL
fit 55
SL $40.2100 · TP1 $38.7300
Breakout
SELL
fit 53
SL $40.2100 · TP1 $38.7300
Mean Reversion
SELL
fit 52
SL $40.2100 · TP1 $38.7300
Scalping
HOLD
fit 52
SL $42.0000 · TP1 $37.2400
Momentum
HOLD
fit 40
SL $42.0000 · TP1 $36.0500
Trend Following
HOLD
fit 37
SL $42.0000 · TP1 $36.0500
Timeframe Analysis
15m STRONG BUY (70)
RSI 53.13
ADX 26.73
1H SELL (55)
RSI 50.14
ADX 20.48
4H SELL (53)
RSI 48.32
ADX 15.09
1D SELL (54)
RSI 45.76
ADX 15.82
1W STRONG BUY (70)
RSI 63.87
ADX 46.6
Score Breakdown
Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 45. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.
1D Timeframe (30%)
54/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+16
→ 16
4H Timeframe (38%)
53/100 raw · BEAR
+20
→ 36
1H Timeframe (32%)
55/100 raw · BEAR
+18
→ 54
15m Micro-Structure
70/100 raw · BULL (diverging)
-1
→ 53
1W Macro Trend
70/100 raw · BULL (macro divergence)
-2
→ 51
Divergence Modifier
1H bull div, 4H bull div
-7
→ 44
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 60% agreement
+1
→ 45
Every Factor by Timeframe
Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.
Trend
/20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
7 /1H
8 /4H
5 /1D
7 blend
▶
+2
Trend: SIDEWAYS / neutral
+2
SMA20 < SMA50 (bear bias)
—
ADX 15 (no trend / choppy)
+2
SMA20 < SMA50 (bear bias)
+2
Trend: SIDEWAYS / neutral
—
ADX 16 (no trend / choppy)
+2
SMA20 > SMA50 (bull bias)
Momentum
/20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
10 /1H
7 /4H
12 /1D
10 blend
▶
+1
RSI 50 — neutral zone (40–60)
+5
MACD bullish (hist > 0, line > signal)
+4
Stoch K 83 — overbought
+1
RSI 48 — neutral zone (40–60)
+5
MACD bearish (hist < 0, line < signal)
+1
RSI 46 — neutral zone (40–60)
+5
MACD bearish (hist < 0, line < signal)
+2
MACD histogram accelerating (bearish)
Volume
/20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
7 /1H
9 /4H
7 /1D
8 blend
▶
+1
Relative volume 0.7x — low
+4
Price above VWAP (bullish bias)
+1
Relative volume 0.9x — low
+4
Price above VWAP (bullish bias)
+2
Price within 0.5× ATR of VWAP (value zone)
+1
Relative volume 0.8x — low
+4
Price below VWAP (bearish bias)
Structure
/20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
+10
Market structure: BEARISH (Lower Highs / Lower Lows)
+2
Mid-range (64% of S/R range)
+2
Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)
+2
Inside / touching Bull FVG ($39.56–$39.82)
—
Liquidity cluster above at $40.46 — not in range
—
Liquidity cluster below at $39.35 — not in range
+6
Chart pattern structure bonus
+10
Market structure: BEARISH (Lower Highs / Lower Lows)
+2
Mid-range (61% of S/R range)
+2
Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)
+2
Inside / touching Bull FVG ($38.67–$39.56)
+2
Inside / touching Bear FVG ($38.67–$40.01)
+1
Near liquidity cluster above ($39.80) — resistance/sweep zone
—
Liquidity cluster below at $39.40 — not in range
+4.9
Chart pattern structure bonus
+8
Market structure: BREAK DOWN (structure break bearish)
+5
Near support (11% of S/R range)
+2
Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)
—
2 order block(s) detected — price not within 0.8% of any
—
Liquidity cluster above at $41.79 — not in range
—
Liquidity cluster below at $37.73 — not in range
+5.7
Chart pattern structure bonus
Volatility
/10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
3 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
3 blend
▶
—
No BB Squeeze
+3
Volatility: NORMAL (good entry conditions)
—
No BB Squeeze
+3
Volatility: NORMAL (good entry conditions)
—
No BB Squeeze
+3
Volatility: NORMAL (good entry conditions)
Risk Quality
/10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
8 /1H
6 /4H
7 /1D
7 blend
▶
+3
S/R range 6.1% — reasonable
+1
ATR $0.38 — stops can be sized
+1
ADX 20 (moderate trend clarity)
+3
295 candles — rich data (reliable indicators)
+3
S/R range 7.2% — reasonable
+1
ATR $0.87 — stops can be sized
+2
85 candles — adequate data
+3
S/R range 6.2% — reasonable
+1
ATR $1.45 — stops can be sized
+3
501 candles — rich data (reliable indicators)
Why Take This Trade
All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence
Strategy: Position (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: SELL (55/100) | 4H: SELL (53/100) | 1D: SELL (54/100)
Market structure favorable
1H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 2 bearish order block(s) in scope
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 105b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 30b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 12b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 44% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 12b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 43% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 4b ×0.63) [83% win rate] 64% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 4b ×0.63) [72% win rate] 63% complete
Volume POC at $39.34
Fib 0.618 at $40.13
Why NOT Take This Trade
Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.
Bullish divergence (MACD/Stoch) – potential bottom forming
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 52b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 11b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 36% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (observed 9% (n=144), near completion, aged 27b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), aged 3b ×0.71) [83% win rate] 31% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 3b ×0.71) [72% win rate] 36% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 97b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 7b ×0.45) [72% win rate] 11% complete
Technical Indicators & Sentiment
Social Sentiment
(Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
BB Range
$37.9700 - $40.8200
Order Flow
UNAVAILABLE
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