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Merck STOCK

MRK · US Equity
$119.0900
+3.83% (24h)
BUY Moderate 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging
Score: 58/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Position Best Fit BUY fit 69
SL $117.0200 · TP1 $123.2300
Swing BUY fit 63
SL $117.2800 · TP1 $121.8100
Mean Reversion SELL fit 61
SL $120.4500 · TP1 $117.0500
Breakout SELL fit 60
SL $120.4500 · TP1 $117.0500
Scalping SELL fit 51
SL $120.1700 · TP1 $118.0100
Trend Following HOLD fit 45
SL $113.7900 · TP1 $127.0400
Momentum HOLD fit 44
SL $113.7900 · TP1 $127.0400

Timeframe Analysis

15m NEUTRAL (69) RSI 58.37 ADX 18.63
1H SELL (60) RSI 49.36 ADX 20.53
4H BUY (59) RSI 52.96 ADX 16.94
1D BUY (61) RSI 56.72 ADX 18.68
1W STRONG BUY (71) RSI 58.14 ADX 32.09

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 58. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
61/100 raw · BULL · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+18
→ 18
4H Timeframe (38%)
59/100 raw · BULL
+22
→ 40
1H Timeframe (32%)
60/100 raw · BEAR
+19
→ 59
MTF Divergence Penalty
1H (BEAR) vs 4H (BULL) disagree
-10
→ 49
15m Micro-Structure
69/100 raw · NEUTRAL (diverging)
-1
→ 48
1W Macro Trend
71/100 raw · BULL (confirms trend)
+2
→ 50
Divergence Modifier
1H bull div
+5
→ 55
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 75% agreement
+3
→ 58
Final Score
58

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
7 /1H
11 /4H
11 /1D
10 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
7 /1H
9 /4H
10 /1D
9 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
9 /1H
9 /4H
10 /1D
9 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
8 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
9 /1H
7 /4H
7 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$119.0900
Stop Loss
$117.2800
TP 1
$121.8100
TP 2
$123.6200
TP 3
$126.3300
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: SELL (60/100) | 4H: BUY (59/100) | 1D: BUY (61/100)
Market structure favorable
Bullish divergence (MACD) – potential bottom forming
1H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1D: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 119b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 5b ×0.56) [72% win rate] 41% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 48b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, aged 15b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 47% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, breakout vol spike, aged 6b ×0.50) [83% win rate] 53% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, aged 6b ×0.50) [72% win rate] 53% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (observed 23% (n=810), with trend, near completion) [62% win rate] 100% complete
Volume POC at $113.35
Fib 0.618 at $115.72

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), volume declining, breakout vol spike, near completion, aged 40b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 11b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 41% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 11b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 29% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323)) [62% win rate] 42% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 7b ×0.45) [72% win rate] 38% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 47b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 25% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, aged 10b ×0.31) [72% win rate] 20% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
49.36
ADX
20.53
Trend
SIDEWAYS
Structure
BEARISH
VWAP
$119.0800
MACD Hist
-0.1007
Stoch K/D
56.48/53.6
ATR
$0.9041
BB Range
$117.8400 - $120.4300
Support
$117.2600
Resistance
$120.0400
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
0.96x
Vol POC
$113.3500
Fib 0.618
$115.7226

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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