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Microsoft STOCK

MSFT · US Equity
$381.7000
-3.08% (24h)
STRONG SELL Moderate 3/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging Suggested: 2x Leverage
Score: 71/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit SELL fit 63
SL $385.7800 · TP1 $379.6600
Mean Reversion SELL fit 61
SL $385.7800 · TP1 $379.6600
Swing SELL fit 60
SL $387.1400 · TP1 $378.0000
Position SELL fit 59
SL $388.5000 · TP1 $378.0000
Scalping SELL fit 55
SL $384.9600 · TP1 $379.8400
Momentum SELL fit 53
SL $385.7800 · TP1 $379.6600
Trend Following HOLD fit 41
SL $405.2000 · TP1 $357.0300

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG SELL (75) RSI 36.66 ADX 26.67
1H SELL (68) RSI 36.33 ADX 32.95
4H SELL (60) RSI 43.16 ADX 13.75
1D SELL (58) RSI 44.74 ADX 12.52
1W SELL (55) RSI 41.95 ADX 22.04

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 71. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
58/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+17
→ 17
4H Timeframe (38%)
60/100 raw · BEAR
+23
→ 40
1H Timeframe (32%)
68/100 raw · BEAR
+22
→ 62
15m Micro-Structure
75/100 raw · BEAR (aligned)
+2
→ 64
1W Macro Trend
55/100 raw · BEAR (confirms trend)
+1
→ 65
TF Consensus
Strong alignment: 100% direction agreement, scores within 7 pts
+6
→ 71
Final Score
71

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
18 /1H
11 /4H
11 /1D
13 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
9 /1H
12 /4H
7 /1D
10 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
6 /1H
7 /4H
9 /1D
7 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
7 /4H
8 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$381.7000
Stop Loss
$387.1400
TP 1
$378.0000
TP 2
$368.1000
TP 3
$359.9400
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: SELL (68/100) | 4H: SELL (60/100) | 1D: SELL (58/100)
Market structure favorable
1H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 22b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 14b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), with trend, volume declining, near completion) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 7b ×0.45) [79% win rate] 50% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 9b ×0.35) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 9b ×0.35) [79% win rate] 32% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 9b ×0.35) [72% win rate] 54% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 172b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 45b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), with trend, volume declining, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 8b ×0.40) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 6b ×0.50) [79% win rate] 24% complete
Volume POC at $387.85
Fib 0.618 at $370.89

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), aged 63b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 10% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 8b ×0.40) [79% win rate] 9% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (observed 23% (n=810), aged 29b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 0% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 63b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 10% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Diamond Bottom (near completion, aged 7b ×0.45) [69% win rate] 80% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), aged 18b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 10% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 4b ×0.63) [79% win rate] 14% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 4b ×0.63) [72% win rate] 11% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Diamond Bottom (near completion, aged 4b ×0.63) [69% win rate] 80% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), aged 316b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 49% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 309b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 22% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 309b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 5% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Diamond Bottom (near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [69% win rate] 80% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
36.33
ADX
32.95
Trend
STRONG DOWN
Structure
BREAK_DOWN
VWAP
$384.1400
MACD Hist
0.2961
Stoch K/D
46.76/39.56
ATR
$2.7200
BB Range
$377.4100 - $390.6000
Support
$379.4300
Resistance
$384.9500
Volume
DECLINING
Rel Volume
0.52x
Vol POC
$387.8500
Fib 0.618
$370.8938

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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