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National Bank of Canada STOCK

NA · US Equity
$205.8700
+2.94% (24h)
SELL Caution 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Breakout weak_trending
Score: 39/100 Strategy: Breakout

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit HOLD fit 69
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $195.7200 · TP1 $221.1000
Mean Reversion HOLD fit 68
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $195.7200 · TP1 $221.1000
Momentum HOLD fit 67
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $195.7200 · TP1 $221.1000
Position HOLD fit 66
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $195.7200 · TP1 $226.1700
Scalping HOLD fit 61
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $195.7200 · TP1 $216.0200
Swing SELL fit 60
SL $207.9400 · TP1 $202.7700
Trend Following HOLD fit 57
SL $195.7200 · TP1 $221.1000

Timeframe Analysis

15m NEUTRAL (67) RSI 45.47 ADX 20.51
1H STRONG BUY (71) RSI 53.28 ADX 33.16
4H SELL (58) RSI 54.11 ADX 20.03
1D BUY (56.7) RSI 56.46 ADX 22.94
1W BUY (69.69999999999999) RSI 64.89 ADX 44.81

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 39. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (40%)
56.7/100 raw · BULL · Mixed regime – 1D=40% / 4H=35% / 1H=25%
+23
→ 23
4H Timeframe (35%)
58/100 raw · BEAR
+20
→ 43
1H Timeframe (25%)
71/100 raw · BULL
+18
→ 61
MTF Divergence Penalty
1H (BULL) vs 4H (BEAR) disagree
-10
→ 51
15m Micro-Structure
67/100 raw · NEUTRAL (diverging)
-1
→ 50
1W Macro Trend
69.69999999999999/100 raw · BULL (confirms trend)
+2
→ 52
Divergence Modifier
1H bear div
-5
→ 47
Potential Top (Bull)
Overbought + resistance + divergence — avoiding longs
-12
→ 35
Penalty Cap (floor)
Total penalties capped at -25 to protect viable signals
+1
→ 36
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 75% agreement
+3
→ 39
Final Score
39

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
12 /1H
10 /4H
10 /1D
11 blend
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
12 /1H
10 /4H
7 /1D
9 blend
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
12 /1H
7 /4H
9 /1D
9 blend
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
19.7 /1D
20 blend
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
8 /4H
8 /1D
9 blend

Trade Levels

Entry
$205.8700
Stop Loss
$195.7200
TP 1
$221.1000
TP 2
$231.2500
TP 3
$246.4700
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Breakout (best fit for weak_trending regime)
1H: STRONG BUY (71/100) | 4H: SELL (58/100) | 1D: BUY (56.7/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
Volume POC at $204.44
Fib 0.618 at $203.61

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Bearish divergence (RSI/Stoch) – potential top forming
Potential top: divergence + overbought/resistance
1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
4H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
4H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: 2 bullish order block(s) in scope
1D: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 84b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Rising Wedge (observed 61% (n=88), volume declining, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 7b ×0.45) [65% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, aged 126b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 77% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 21b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 4% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, breakout vol spike, aged 18b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 71% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (observed 23% (n=810), with trend) [62% win rate] 63% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Ascending Channel (observed 70% (n=338), with trend, breakout vol spike, aged 2b ×0.79) [55% win rate] 50% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, aged 40b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 35% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, aged 40b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 53% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 14b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 37% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (observed 23% (n=810)) [62% win rate] 62% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 173b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, aged 11b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 44% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, aged 5b ×0.56) [72% win rate] 43% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
53.28
ADX
33.16
Trend
UP
Structure
BULLISH
VWAP
$205.9400
MACD Hist
-0.2339
Stoch K/D
32/30.32
ATR
$1.0300
BB Range
$203.6100 - $208.1900
Support
$204.9700
Resistance
$207.1900
Volume
INCREASING
Rel Volume
1.36x
Vol POC
$204.4400
Fib 0.618
$203.6066

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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