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Semiconductor ETF STOCK

SMH · US Equity
$573.7300
+5.23% (24h)
STRONG BUY Moderate 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging Suggested: 2x Leverage
Score: 73/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit BUY fit 67
SL $569.4600 · TP1 $576.7700
Mean Reversion BUY fit 66
SL $569.4600 · TP1 $576.7700
Swing BUY fit 62
SL $569.4600 · TP1 $576.7700
Momentum BUY fit 58
SL $569.4600 · TP1 $576.7700
Position HOLD fit 57
SL $537.3700 · TP1 $624.6300
Scalping BUY fit 56
SL $569.4600 · TP1 $576.7200
Trend Following HOLD fit 42
SL $537.3700 · TP1 $611.9100

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG BUY (70) RSI 51.48 ADX 32.02
1H STRONG BUY (72) RSI 65.1 ADX 34.33
4H BUY (65) RSI 59.39 ADX 15.51
1D SELL (58) RSI 53.51 ADX 12.75
1W BUY (56) RSI 57.35 ADX 21.83

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 73. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
58/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+17
→ 17
4H Timeframe (38%)
65/100 raw · BULL
+25
→ 42
1H Timeframe (32%)
72/100 raw · BULL
+23
→ 65
15m Micro-Structure
70/100 raw · BULL (aligned)
+2
→ 67
1W Macro Trend
56/100 raw · BULL (confirms trend)
+1
→ 68
TF Consensus
Strong alignment: 80% direction agreement, scores within 6 pts
+5
→ 73
Final Score
73

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
18 /1H
11 /4H
5 /1D
11 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
12 /1H
15 /4H
12 /1D
13 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
7 /1H
10 /4H
11 /1D
9 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
6 /4H
7 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$573.7300
Stop Loss
$569.4600
TP 1
$576.7700
TP 2
$584.4100
TP 3
$590.8100
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: STRONG BUY (72/100) | 4H: BUY (65/100) | 1D: SELL (58/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 21b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 21b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 91b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 65% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 7b ×0.45) [62% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (with trend) [67% win rate] 70% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Ascending Channel (with trend, aged 7b ×0.45) [55% win rate] 50% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 52b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (with trend, aged 6b ×0.50) [79% win rate] 45% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (aged 10b ×0.31) [83% win rate] 45% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 10b ×0.31) [79% win rate] 19% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (aged 10b ×0.31) [72% win rate] 45% complete
Volume POC at $548.91
Fib 0.618 at $563.10

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Bearish divergence (Stoch) – potential top forming
1H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 147b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 70% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (aged 50b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 6% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 98b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 15% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Diamond Top (near completion, aged 7b ×0.45) [69% win rate] 80% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (against trend, breakout vol spike, near completion, aged 20b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (aged 44b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 13% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 32b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 19% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Diamond Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [69% win rate] 80% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 7b ×0.45) [83% win rate] 17% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (aged 15b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 16% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 15b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 19% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
65.1
ADX
34.33
Trend
STRONG UP
Structure
BULLISH
VWAP
$567.4000
MACD Hist
0.5177
Stoch K/D
60.64/69.17
ATR
$3.7800
BB Range
$547.3200 - $584.6900
Support
$574.0800
Resistance
$578.9400
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
0.79x
Vol POC
$548.9100
Fib 0.618
$563.1046

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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