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Consumer Discretionary ETF STOCK

XLY · US Equity
$109.4100
-5.22% (24h)
STRONG SELL Moderate 3/3 TF 2.5x R:R Momentum weak_trending Suggested: 2x Leverage
Score: 71/100 Strategy: Momentum

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Momentum Best Fit SELL fit 68
SL $110.2900 · TP1 $108.9500
Swing SELL fit 68
SL $110.5800 · TP1 $108.3800
Breakout SELL fit 66
SL $110.2900 · TP1 $108.9500
Mean Reversion SELL fit 65
SL $110.2900 · TP1 $108.9500
Trend Following SELL fit 64
SL $110.5800 · TP1 $108.3800
Position SELL fit 64
SL $110.7400 · TP1 $108.3800
Scalping HOLD fit 57
SL $115.8100 · TP1 $103.6500

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (65) RSI 53.38 ADX 17.43
1H STRONG SELL (72) RSI 33.45 ADX 52.61
4H SELL (67) RSI 27.46 ADX 24.97
1D SELL (62) RSI 32.96 ADX 12.75
1W SELL (61.3) RSI 40.43 ADX 14.44

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 71. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (40%)
62/100 raw · BEAR · Mixed regime – 1D=40% / 4H=35% / 1H=25%
+25
→ 25
4H Timeframe (35%)
67/100 raw · BEAR
+23
→ 48
1H Timeframe (25%)
72/100 raw · BEAR
+18
→ 66
15m Micro-Structure
65/100 raw · BULL (diverging)
-1
→ 65
1W Macro Trend
61.3/100 raw · BEAR (confirms trend)
+1
→ 66
TF Consensus
Strong alignment: 80% direction agreement, scores within 4 pts
+5
→ 71
Final Score
71

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
20 /1H
13 /4H
11 /1D
14 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
11 /1H
14 /4H
17 /1D
14 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
6 /1H
9 /4H
7 /1D
7 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
8 /4H
4 /1D
7 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$109.4100
Stop Loss
$110.5800
TP 1
$108.3800
TP 2
$106.4800
TP 3
$104.7300
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence
Strategy: Momentum (best fit for weak_trending regime)
1H: STRONG SELL (72/100) | 4H: SELL (67/100) | 1D: SELL (62/100)
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 48b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 48b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), with trend, volume declining, near completion) [67% win rate] 80% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323), with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 14b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: V-Top (Spike) (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 93b ×0.30) [58% win rate] 90% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 44b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 14b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 14b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 4b ×0.63) [62% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 27b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [72% win rate] 100% complete
Volume POC at $117.05
Fib 0.618 at $112.46

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 431b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 245b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 39% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 75b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 41% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Diamond Bottom (near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [69% win rate] 80% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
33.45
ADX
52.61
Trend
STRONG DOWN
Structure
BREAK_DOWN
VWAP
$110.0200
MACD Hist
0.1551
Stoch K/D
68.09/43.55
ATR
$0.5863
BB Range
$105.8900 - $114.7800
Support
$108.8600
Resistance
$109.9300
Volume
DECLINING
Rel Volume
0.54x
Vol POC
$117.0500
Fib 0.618
$112.4614

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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