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Consumer Discretionary ETF STOCK

XLY · US Equity
$113.9900
-0.52% (24h)
HOLD High conviction 3/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging Suggested: 3x Leverage
Signal Gate Active
Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + oversold RSI or support) – avoiding shorts
Score: 76/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit HOLD fit 72
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $110.1400
Mean Reversion HOLD fit 72
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $110.1400
Swing HOLD fit 67
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $110.1400
Scalping HOLD fit 66
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $111.4200
Momentum HOLD fit 64
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $110.1400
Position HOLD fit 64
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $108.8500
Trend Following HOLD fit 48
Blocked: SHORT: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + overso…
SL $117.6600 · TP1 $110.1400

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG SELL (83) RSI 37.75 ADX 33.46
1H STRONG SELL (77) RSI 35.12 ADX 30.52
4H SELL (64) RSI 37.35 ADX 17.28
1D SELL (67) RSI 41.95 ADX 11.85
1W SELL (60) RSI 46.43 ADX 15.56

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 76. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
67/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+20
→ 20
4H Timeframe (38%)
64/100 raw · BEAR
+24
→ 44
1H Timeframe (32%)
77/100 raw · BEAR
+25
→ 69
15m Micro-Structure
83/100 raw · BEAR (aligned)
+3
→ 72
1W Macro Trend
60/100 raw · BEAR (confirms trend)
+1
→ 73
Divergence Modifier
4H bull div
-3
→ 70
TF Consensus
Strong alignment: 100% direction agreement, scores within 9 pts
+6
→ 76
Top/Bottom Gate
Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + oversold RSI or support) – avoiding shorts
+0
→ 76
Final Score
76

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
18 /1H
11 /4H
11 /1D
13 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
15 /1H
14 /4H
12 /1D
14 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
9 /1H
9 /4H
13 /1D
10 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
7 /4H
8 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$113.9900
Stop Loss
$117.6600
TP 1
$110.1400
TP 2
$104.8200
TP 3
$99.3100
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

HOLD: Potential bottom detected (2+ divergences + oversold RSI or support) – avoiding shorts
All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: STRONG SELL (77/100) | 4H: SELL (64/100) | 1D: SELL (67/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
Volume POC at $118.37
Fib 0.618 at $116.30

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1D: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 8b ×0.40) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 19b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 8b ×0.40) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 219b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 34b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (against trend, volume declining, near completion, aged 33b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 6b ×0.50) [79% win rate] 31% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Descending Channel (with trend, breakout vol spike, aged 2b ×0.79) [55% win rate] 50% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 58b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 73% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (aged 43b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 1% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 21b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 40% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 32b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 38% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 21b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 40% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (aged 43b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 3% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (against trend, near completion, aged 5b ×0.56) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (with trend, near completion, aged 29b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 86% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
35.12
ADX
30.52
Trend
STRONG DOWN
Structure
BREAK_DOWN
VWAP
$114.9100
MACD Hist
-0.0722
Stoch K/D
17.39/14.53
ATR
$0.4198
BB Range
$112.9200 - $117.1200
Support
$113.8200
Resistance
$114.5000
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
1.16x
Vol POC
$118.3700
Fib 0.618
$116.3037

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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