Ethereum | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥55.

Momentum Best Fit HOLD fit 73

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,347.35

Breakout HOLD fit 70

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,347.35

Scalping HOLD fit 63

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,256.27

Mean Reversion HOLD fit 60

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,347.35

Swing HOLD fit 59

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,347.35

Trend Following HOLD fit 57

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,347.35

Position HOLD fit 37

SL $1,891.95 · TP1 $2,438.43

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (64) RSI 52.49 ADX 16.33

1H STRONG BUY (76) RSI 76.05 ADX 41.85

4H BUY (61.1) RSI 53.67 ADX 3.54

1D SELL (63) RSI 52.41 ADX 6.86

1W LEAN BEAR (32.3) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 41. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (35%)

63/100 raw · BEAR · Compression regime – 1D=35% / 4H=42% / 1H=23%

+22

→ 22

4H Timeframe (42%)

61.1/100 raw · BULL

+26

→ 48

1H Timeframe (23%)

76/100 raw · BULL

+17

→ 65

Session Filter

Outside peak hours (12–22 UTC). Current: 0:00 UTC

-5

→ 60

Divergence Modifier

1H bear div, 4H bear div

-7

→ 53

Potential Top (Bull)

Overbought + resistance + divergence — avoiding longs

-12

→ 41

Final Score

41

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

20 /1H

8 /4H

11 /1D

12 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

14 /1H

8.1 /4H

3 /1D

8 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

7 /1H

9 /4H

20 /1D

13 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

20 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near resistance (127% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster below at $1938.00 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near resistance (149% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— Liquidity cluster below at $1966.08 — not in range

+2.2 Candlestick pattern structure bonus

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 20/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK UP (structure break bullish)

+3 Approaching resistance (69% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— Liquidity cluster above at $2107.11 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $1926.80 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

5 /1H

8 /4H

5 /1D

6 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

10 /1H

8 /4H

4 /1D

7 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$2,074.11

Stop Loss

$1,891.95

TP 1

$2,347.35

TP 2

$2,529.51

TP 3

$2,802.75

Risk / Reward

2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence

Quality gate: score 41 or confluence 2 below minimum – held to HOLD

Strategy: Breakout (best fit for compression regime)

1H: STRONG BUY (76/100) | 4H: BUY (61.1/100) | 1D: SELL (63/100)

Momentum confirming on 1H

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

BTC correlation: 95% — high, watch BTC

Volume POC at $1954.30

Fib 0.618 at $1908.06

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Outside peak session (12–22 UTC) – reduced conviction

Bearish divergence (Stoch) – potential top forming

Potential top: divergence + overbought/resistance

1H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, near completion) [83% win rate] 80% complete

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top [72% win rate] 13% complete

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Ascending Channel (with trend) [55% win rate] 50% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 34% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 18% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion) [67% win rate] 100% complete

1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, high volume) [83% win rate] 29% complete

1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 43% complete

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

76.05

ADX

41.85

Trend

STRONG UP

Structure

BULLISH

VWAP

$1,976.57

MACD Hist

3.89

Stoch K/D

66.19/74.1

ATR

$29.2700

BB Range

$1,888.60 - $2,076.50

Support

$2,021.17

Resistance

$2,063.00

Volume

NORMAL

Rel Volume

0.72x

BTC Corr

95%

Vol POC

$1,954.30

Fib 0.618

$1,908.06

Candlestick Patterns Detected

4H

Long-Legged Doji (indecision)

Long-legged doji - extreme indecision, watch for breakout

BB squeeze

Strength

★★

wt: 1.2x

4H

Spinning Top (indecision)

Spinning top - indecision between buyers and sellers

BB squeeze

Strength

★

wt: 1.2x

Bullish patterns support LONG signals · Bearish patterns support SHORT signals · Context multipliers adjust pattern weight based on S/R, divergence, volume, and trend alignment.