Sonic (ex-FTM) | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit HOLD fit 59

SL $0.0393 · TP1 $0.0310

Mean Reversion HOLD fit 58

SL $0.0393 · TP1 $0.0310

Momentum HOLD fit 57

SL $0.0393 · TP1 $0.0310

Scalping BUY fit 56

SL $0.0357 · TP1 $0.0363

Swing SELL fit 56

SL $0.0366 · TP1 $0.0351

Trend Following SELL fit 53

SL $0.0366 · TP1 $0.0351

Position HOLD fit 52

SL $0.0393 · TP1 $0.0294

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (67) RSI 66.98 ADX 29.46

1H NEUTRAL (61) RSI 58.42 ADX 17.26

4H NEUTRAL (58.5) RSI 47.64 ADX 27.78

1D SELL (54.7) RSI 42.7 ADX 8.74

1W LEAN BULL (47.9) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 53. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (40%)

54.7/100 raw · BEAR · Mixed regime – 1D=40% / 4H=35% / 1H=25%

+22

→ 22

4H Timeframe (35%)

58.5/100 raw · NEUTRAL

+20

→ 42

1H Timeframe (25%)

61/100 raw · NEUTRAL

+15

→ 57

15m Micro-Structure

67/100 raw · BULL (diverging)

-1

→ 56

Order Flow

Thin liquidity ($32,811 within 1%) — risky entry

-5

→ 51

TF Consensus

Moderate alignment: 67% agreement

+2

→ 53

Final Score

53

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

8 /1H

9 /4H

11 /1D

10 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

12 /1H

10.5 /4H

3.4 /1D

8 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

10 /1H

6 /4H

11 /1D

9 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

19.3 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK DOWN (structure break bearish)

+5 Near resistance (182% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— 1 order block(s) detected — price not within 0.8% of any

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.04 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.04 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BEARISH (Lower Highs / Lower Lows)

+5 Near resistance (82% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

— 2 order block(s) detected — price not within 0.8% of any

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.04 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.04 — not in range

+0.6 Candlestick pattern structure bonus

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 19.3/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK UP (structure break bullish)

+3 Close to support (31% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

+2 Inside / touching Bear FVG ($0.04–$0.04)

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.04 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.04 — not in range

+0.7 Candlestick pattern structure bonus

+3.6 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

3 /1H

5 /4H

6 /1D

5 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

8 /1H

8 /4H

4 /1D

6 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$0.0360

Stop Loss

$0.0366

TP 1

$0.0351

TP 2

$0.0345

TP 3

$0.0336

Risk / Reward

2.5x

Why Take This Trade

Strategy: Breakout (best fit for weak_trending regime)

1H: NEUTRAL (61/100) | 4H: NEUTRAL (58.5/100) | 1D: SELL (54.7/100)

Momentum confirming on 1H

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 59% complete

1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend) [72% win rate] 46% complete

BTC correlation: 50% — moderate

Volume POC at $0.04

Fib 0.618 at $0.04

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Mixed timeframes - weak confluence, consider waiting

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope

1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present

4H: 2 bullish order block(s) in scope

4H: Bullish candle patterns: Bullish Marubozu (against resistance, against HTF trend)

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 54% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)

NEUTRAL

Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%

RSI (14)

58.42

ADX

17.26

Trend

SIDEWAYS

Structure

BREAK_DOWN

VWAP

$0.0353

MACD Hist

0.00013461

Stoch K/D

98.03/95

ATR

$0.00028866

BB Range

$0.0348 - $0.0360

Support

$0.0351

Resistance

$0.0356

Volume

INCREASING

Rel Volume

1.48x

BTC Corr

50%

Vol POC

$0.0384

Fib 0.618

$0.0359

Order Flow BUY FLOW THIN LIQUIDITY

Live order book depth from Bitget. Flow score ranges from -10 (strong sell pressure) to +10 (strong buy pressure). Updates every ~45 seconds.

Flow Score

+1

Spread

0.083% (normal)

Depth Imbalance

1.42x bid heavy

Depth (1%)

$33k

Bid Wall

4.6x avg

Ask Wall

2.3x avg

Bids: $19k total $0.0360 Asks: $14k total

Candlestick Patterns Detected

4H

Bullish Marubozu (continuation)

Bullish marubozu - dominant buying, full control

against resistance against HTF trend

Strength

★★★

wt: 0.36x

1D

Dragonfly Doji (reversal)

Dragonfly doji - strong rejection of lower prices

BB squeeze

Strength

★

wt: 1.2x

Bullish patterns support LONG signals · Bearish patterns support SHORT signals · Context multipliers adjust pattern weight based on S/R, divergence, volume, and trend alignment.