Optimism | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥55.

Swing Best Fit BUY fit 65

SL $0.1183 · TP1 $0.1361

Trend Following BUY fit 60

SL $0.1183 · TP1 $0.1361

Breakout HOLD fit 54

SL $0.1197 · TP1 $0.1340

Mean Reversion HOLD fit 53

SL $0.1197 · TP1 $0.1340

Momentum HOLD fit 52

SL $0.1197 · TP1 $0.1340

Scalping HOLD fit 50

SL $0.1197 · TP1 $0.1311

Position HOLD fit 42

SL $0.1197 · TP1 $0.1368

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (62) RSI 50.72 ADX 15.56

1H SELL (56) RSI 43.45 ADX 16.9

4H STRONG BUY (77.9) RSI 93.43 ADX 83.04

1D LEAN BULL (46) RSI 74.4 ADX 6.07

1W LEAN BULL (34.9) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 40. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (50%)

46/100 raw · BULL · Trending regime – 1D=50% / 4H=30% / 1H=20%

+23

→ 23

4H Timeframe (30%)

77.9/100 raw · BULL

+23

→ 46

1H Timeframe (20%)

56/100 raw · BEAR

+11

→ 57

MTF Divergence Penalty

1H (BEAR) vs 4H (BULL) disagree

-10

→ 47

Session Filter

Outside peak hours (12–22 UTC). Current: 0:00 UTC

-5

→ 42

Divergence Modifier

1H bear div

-5

→ 37

Volume Profile (POC)

Price within 0.5% of high-volume node ($0.13)

+3

→ 40

Final Score

40

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

8 /1H

17 /4H

8 /1D

11 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

12 /1H

19.9 /4H

7 /1D

13 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

6 /1H

6 /4H

7 /1D

6 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

20 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+3 Approaching resistance (68% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— 2 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.13 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.12 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (-1390% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

— 2 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.13 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.12 — not in range

+1.8 Candlestick pattern structure bonus

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (-156% of S/R range)

+5 At lower Bollinger Band (oversold zone)

— 2 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $0.13 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.11 — not in range

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

3 /1H

5 /4H

0 /1D

3 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

7 /1H

10 /4H

4 /1D

7 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$0.1254

Stop Loss

$0.1197

TP 1

$0.1340

TP 2

$0.1397

TP 3

$0.1482

Risk / Reward

2.51x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence

Quality gate: score 40 or confluence 2 below minimum – held to HOLD

Strategy: Swing (best fit for trending regime)

1H: SELL (56/100) | 4H: STRONG BUY (77.9/100) | 1D: LEAN BULL (46/100)

Momentum confirming on 1H

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

BTC correlation: 79% — high, watch BTC

Volume POC at $0.13

Fib 0.618 at $0.14

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Outside peak session (12–22 UTC) – reduced conviction

Bearish divergence (RSI/MACD) – potential top forming

1H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present

4H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present

1D: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 26% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

43.45

ADX

16.9

Trend

SIDEWAYS

Structure

BULLISH

VWAP

$0.1230

MACD Hist

-0.00061965

Stoch K/D

8.16/9.81

ATR

$0.00283571

BB Range

$0.1175 - $0.1265

Support

$0.1190

Resistance

$0.1284

Volume

DECLINING

Rel Volume

0.44x

BTC Corr

79%

Vol POC

$0.1255

Fib 0.618

$0.1431

Candlestick Patterns Detected

4H

Long-Legged Doji (indecision)

Long-legged doji - extreme indecision, watch for breakout

Strength

★★

4H

Spinning Top (indecision)

Spinning top - indecision between buyers and sellers

Strength

★

Bullish patterns support LONG signals · Bearish patterns support SHORT signals · Context multipliers adjust pattern weight based on S/R, divergence, volume, and trend alignment.