Polkadot | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥55.

Mean Reversion Best Fit HOLD fit 71

SL $1.2200 · TP1 $1.9700

Breakout HOLD fit 70

SL $1.2200 · TP1 $1.9700

Swing SELL fit 68

SL $1.6200 · TP1 $1.3700

Momentum HOLD fit 67

SL $1.2200 · TP1 $1.9700

Trend Following SELL fit 64

SL $1.6200 · TP1 $1.3700

Scalping HOLD fit 55

SL $1.2200 · TP1 $1.8200

Position HOLD fit 45

SL $1.2200 · TP1 $2.1200

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (61) RSI 57.47

1H STRONG BUY (72) RSI 62.16 ADX 54.76

4H STRONG SELL (79) RSI 71.34 ADX 47.22

1D BUY (56) RSI 56.08 ADX 8.91

1W LEAN BULL (39) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 44. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (50%)

56/100 raw · BULL · Trending regime – 1D=50% / 4H=30% / 1H=20%

+28

→ 28

4H Timeframe (30%)

79/100 raw · BEAR

+24

→ 52

1H Timeframe (20%)

72/100 raw · BULL

+14

→ 66

MTF Divergence Penalty

1H (BULL) vs 4H (BEAR) disagree

-10

→ 56

Session Filter

Outside peak hours (12–22 UTC). Current: 0:00 UTC

-5

→ 51

Divergence Modifier

1H bear div, 4H bear div

-7

→ 44

Final Score

44

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

17 /1H

20 /4H

8 /1D

14 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

9 /1H

17 /4H

3 /1D

9 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

7 /1H

7 /4H

16 /1D

11 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

20 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (-71% of S/R range)

+5 At lower Bollinger Band (oversold zone)

— Liquidity cluster above at $1.62 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $1.46 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near resistance (550% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— 2 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster below at $1.30 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 20/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK UP (structure break bullish)

+5 Near resistance (163% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— Liquidity cluster above at $1.75 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $1.47 — not in range

+4 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

10 /1H

5 /4H

5 /1D

6 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

9 /1H

10 /4H

4 /1D

7 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$1.5200

Stop Loss

$1.2200

TP 1

$1.9700

TP 2

$2.2700

TP 3

$2.7200

Risk / Reward

2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence

Quality gate: score 44 or confluence 2 below minimum – held to HOLD

Strategy: Swing (best fit for trending regime)

1H: STRONG BUY (72/100) | 4H: STRONG SELL (79/100) | 1D: BUY (56/100)

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

BTC correlation: 67% — moderate

Volume POC at $1.51

Fib 0.618 at $1.38

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Outside peak session (12–22 UTC) – reduced conviction

Bearish divergence (Stoch) – potential top forming

4H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 5% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (against trend, volume declining, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion) [67% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (with trend) [72% win rate] 59% complete

1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 39% complete

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

62.16

ADX

54.76

Trend

STRONG UP

Structure

BULLISH

VWAP

$1.6000

MACD Hist

0.0033072

Stoch K/D

52.63/66.67

ATR

$0.0389

BB Range

$1.5500 - $1.6500

Support

$1.5900

Resistance

$1.6800

Volume

NORMAL

Rel Volume

0.92x

BTC Corr

67%

Vol POC

$1.5100

Fib 0.618

$1.3819